June 30, 2011 at 9:32 am | | Comments 2

RVBD at Key Resistance

Trading ranges or channels tend to stay in effect until, well, they’re no longer in effect.  One name right now caught between support and resistance is RVBD.

This computer hardware maker rallied huge from last summer into the first part of 2011, and has since then been basing in a high channel.  Rallies to resistance have predominantly been sold, while pullbacks to support have consistently been bought during this time.  That’s the routine for a channeling stock.

With the stock currently at the top end of this range, you have to wonder if this is an opportunity for a downside reversal (particularly with the broad market short-term overbought), or perhaps a breakout failure and a subsequent pullback into the lower end of the range.  No predictions, just an observation.

Here’s a look at RVBD, showing the trading range it has spent essentially 6 of the past 7 months inside of, with the only time outside the range between mid-Feb to mid-March:


Chart courtesy of TeleChart

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  1. So assuming the $40 level is not claimed at what point & price would you consider fading this?

  2. Hey Ted,

    Thanks for stopping by. I think it can be faded right here, using $40 as the level to trade against. If it reclaims $40 on a closing basis, that would be my signal that perhaps it’s headed back to test the old high. Otherwise I think it moves back down to at least the $35 area.

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