For example, with XYZ trading at $50, the $55 call might look cheap by comparison at $0.25, and many will go this route of buying a ‘cheap’ call instead of the shares.  That isn’t much, but with only about a 10% chance of finishing in the money by expiration, the odds certainly aren’t favorable.  Then consider the fact that to turn a profit, the stock has to move even higher ($55 + $0.25 paid for the call), and the likelihood of turning a profit diminishes even further.

Whether it’s options or common you’re trading, you never want to be in a position where you NEED the stock to make a sizeable move to just get your money back.

So the next time you’re considering buying an option instead of the stock, go deep in the money and consider paying what might look to be a more expensive price.  The odds are more favorable, and you’re not putting yourself in such a needy position from the outset of the trade.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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“Do you believe market makers and specialists really gun for the orders that are on the books that are only a few hundred shares, or do they only search out bigger size?”

Here’s my response:

My take on market makers and specialists is that they just want volume, all day, as they’re selling on the offer and buying on the bid.  A few hundred shares here throughout the day add up to a lot. Stocks will naturally gravitate toward key areas of support and resistance, so if they just get close then it’s not that difficult for market makers to ‘spook’ prices a little further and run some stops.

Suppose there’s resistance just a few cents away, they know buy stops reside beyond that level. Flashing a big bid will have shorts quickly covering based upon the quote (which is real by the way), and buyers step in front of it in hopes of catching a run. They can then flip that large order to the ask and it spooks everyone to sell, taking the stock right back down to where it was.

You can see how doing that throughout the day adds to the back-and-forth range-bound type of price action which churns the accounts of retail traders and leaves the stock not necessarily making any big headway.

Also, do not discount the presence of programs doing this exact same thing.  If supercomputers can automate the process via algo’s, all the better for the smart money to spook the retail traders out of positions on a regular basis.  Head-fake moves which last only long enough to inflict enough pain to prompt an exit is all it takes, so it need not be a lasting move to catch the small trader off guard and separate him from a dime here or a quarter there.

One last thing…

On a trend day when market makers are shorting into strength (selling on the offer during an uptrend ), if they didn’t have a lot of inventory to dump, then they’re getting shorter the higher we go. They will hedge via futures (ES or NQ) or through options. Those derivatives have a huge impact on how the market moves, yet few traders really recognize that.

So when people watch call buying activity or put buying activity in the options, they think they know that someone big is betting on a rise or fall in the shares, but the fact is nobody knows if it’s that simple or if it’s part of a more complicated hedge for a market-neutral position.

It gets cloudy, but there’s my take on market makers and specialists.  What’s your opinion?

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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I believe that still holds true, but I was questioned about some common moving averages on the heels of that post.

So in this video, I want to discuss moving averages, and more specifically, two moving averages which are commonly accepted by traders as important: the 50-day and the 200-day moving averages.

We’ll look at some big-name stocks and let the charts speak for themselves on whether it’s appropriate or not to leave these MA’s on the chart all the time.

Be sure to view in HD (720P) and full-screen mode for best quality in the video.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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Day trading gaps can be quite lucrative, particularly when it happens early in the session.  However, there’s a flip side to it which must be considered – and it costs many traders money to ignore the warnings.

Check out the video for more on this topic, and be sure you’re on the email list so you’re always notified of new updates like this one.

Be sure to view in HD (720P) and full-screen mode for best quality in the video.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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Keep a core portfolio of positions you like.

Learn to locate new trades, identify patterns, and employ the best strategy given the conditions.

If the pattern confirms, enter the trade.

If the pattern fails, exit the trade.

If your target is met, reduce position (if momentum is still present) or exit completely.

Trading might not ever be EASY, but you can make it simple.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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* Your initial target gets reached faster than expected.  Ideally, this is also accompanied by heavy volume to confirm the move.  Either way, this is a stock that’s getting quickly on the move, and you’re participating – congrats.

* You get runaway gaps in your favor.  A runaway gap is an indication that emotions are heating up and traders are becoming impatient.  With prices moving in your favor, you’re in good shape to capture additional momentum and be able to offer out stock at higher levels.

* Your stock has a historical propensity to make big moves.  This factor alone isn’t enough to produce a home-run, but with either (or both) of the previous two at work, it only adds to the likelihood that the move getting underway is going to pay you well.

Momentum trading requires a different mindset, and momentum arrives when there’s more emotion present than logic.  Keep this in mind the next time you have a trade performing better than expected, and see how much you can get out of it.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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Regardless of what your ideal market looks like, it may only come around a couple of times per year.  You’ll of course need to make the most of it when those conditions are present, but what about the rest of the time?  Isn’t it important for us to capitalize on a good market?

Of course it is, but not everyone understands what that looks like.

Today I want to point out a post from the archives that’s every bit as pertinent to current market conditions as it was when it was first written.  Check out this post for a few items to watch for that’ll improve the trading conditions when they arrive – and they will arrive.

Here’s the post:  What Makes a Good Trading Market?

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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As traders, it’s this constant change which actually provides us with serious opportunity.  The long-term buy-and-hope type doesn’t have a different approach for profiting from a momentum market vs. a sharp correction.  You as a trader do, so embrace that!

When it’s time to adapt, be willing to do it.  The same old patterns might not work, so at times you’ll need to modify what you’re looking for and go with something a little different.  Experience will teach you this, but right alongside that is your ongoing willingness to listen to the market and identify what’s working.

I want you to check out this post from the archives where I talk about Profiting From Market Changes – you’ll learn from it.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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Perhaps that’s out of impatience or anxiety, but we’ve all done it and either suffered diminished returns from lowering our standards or we’ve implemented some poor habits which came back to bite us later.

When it comes to daytrading, our greatest odds for success come when we combine multiple favorable conditions before placing trades.  That might be locating setups which point to the same outcome on multiple timeframes, or it might be considering the overall market environment and trading in such a way that we’re not fighting that.

Go check out this post from the archives which has both a written explanation & a video showing you what I mean, because the key is to Stack the Odds for Daytrading Success.

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

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In watching yesterday’s final round, the leaders were each asked during their pre-round prep what the most important element would be for their game in the final round.  Without exception, they all said the same thing:  Patience.

Experience taught them that.  Eventual winner Darren Clarke was quick to admit he’s not normally a patient person, yet that was his focus as he headed out to try to claim his first major title.

A little gray hair goes a long way.

Had it been an interview with amateur leaders of the local club championship, the answers given may have been along the lines of “I need to make a lot of birdies.”  And while that may be true, it’s not the priority of a pro when conditions are less than ideal.

True Confidence

Patience is not my strongest suit.  I’m aware of it though, and therefore continue to keep impatience in check.  I have to work on it.  Self-honesty is important though, so I can’t ignore the occasions where impatience costs me opportunity, and those in turn serve as reminders to wait for the best opportunities to come along.

Through my premium service, I encounter a lot of traders who are overly anxious.  Impatient doesn’t even begin to describe them.  They’re willing to throw caution to the wind just for the thrill of being in something.

Or to avoid looking scared.

I think they fear it’s a show of cowardice if they sit on the bench for a little while.  Ironically though, the biggest sign of confidence that you know what you’re doing is having the guts to sit on your hands when you don’t see what you like.  You don’t chase the wind – you have a plan, and you execute it when the time is right.

Instead of taking that approach, these highly impatient traders don’t realize the primary importance of preserving capital and the secondary aim of turning a profit.  Instead, they want to be highly active every day, and it’s as though they’re missing out if they exercise some caution.  I don’t mind telling them that my service isn’t the right fit for those who feel the continual need to be in something.

Wait For It

The fact of the matter is that there are times when the sidelines are the best place to be.  Just like the British Open leaders identified the greatest virtue of the day to be patience in the face of harsh weather conditions and tremendous pressure, you as a trader have to recognize when patience is the best course of action for you.

You’re still agile enough to take action should conditions present an opportunity, so it’s not as though you’re immobilized or stuck like a buy-and-hope investor type.  But when the market is overly sensitive to the news flow, we’re getting huge gaps on nearly a daily basis, reversals are happening frequently, and the setups are sparse, the best course of action is to take very little to no action.

We all know the oft-used quote from Jim Rodgers, but it’s this kind of attitude I’m referring to…

“I just wait until there is money lying on the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime. Even people who lose money in the market say, ‘I just lost my money, now I have to do something to make it back.’ No you don`t. You should sit there until you find something.”

If you’re predisposed to trading the long side, then wait for market weakness to dissipate before committing capital.  If you like the short side and we’re seeing relentless rallies, the only thing you’re missing out on by not trading is pain.  Recognize that and embrace the option of doing nothing when what you see doesn’t fit your skill set.

Professionals know there are times to lay low and wait for the best opportunities, but amateurs tend to force the issue out of impatience. Which would you rather be?

Trade Like a Bandit!

Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast

Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or Facebook to keep up!