All Entries Tagged With: "Capital Preservation"
How Traders Get a Raise
June 22, 2011 at 11:56 am
Every business has overhead (some more than others), and although you may not have a brick-and-mortar storefront, you certainly have overhead as a trader.
It’s business 101 that to make more money, you either bring in more revenue or you fatten your profit margin by cutting costs. Plenty of posts on this blog discuss ways to accomplish the former, but today, we’ll talk about the fastest way to achieve the latter.
The Elephant in the Room
Traders rarely stop to consider the biggest expense they face, which is usually commission costs. The fees we pay to enter and exit trades are no doubt a cost of doing business, but once you’ve hit a certain experience level with your trading, it’s likely that your attention has diverted to strategy and execution (which is fine). By default, however, you’ve ignored one expense which can easily run into the mid 5 figures over the course of the year if you’re an active trader.
Even if that’s not the case with you, it’s still worth taking note of just how much you’re paying on commissions. Newbie traders recognize this when they come to the market with small accounts, and they soon realize that they’ll need a sizeable move in the stock just to overcome their costs.
Regardless of your situation, take heart! There is a solution…
NEGOTIATE YOUR COMMISSIONS!
Aside from why you should do this, here are a few reasons why you can do this…
Apples to Apples. Transaction costs have come down tremendously in recent years for everyone. Technology has greatly improved, which isn’t cheap, but the fact is that when it comes to the standard trading platform features, virtually everyone has similar technology. Occasionally you’ll find something very unique, but you can most likely accomplish your trading on a variety of platforms, which means you aren’t tied down to any single brokerage. They know this.
Move the Line. Every brokerage has the capability to lower your commissions. So, get creative if you need to. Work the numbers and find out if there’s a threshold you need to meet in terms of monthly trading volume in order to get an improved rate. Find out if they’ll waive your platform fee (if you pay one) at a certain level, or switch from a per-trade to a per-share commission structure.
The Advertised Rate is a Starting Point. The displayed homepage commission price which brokerages show is a number most people will gladly pay, but it doesn’t have to be “the” number. And the more active you are as a trader, the more you should view it as simply a starting point for negotiations. Every brokerage knows their margins, and they know the rock-bottom price which they can offer. I can guarantee you that’s not their advertised rate. They have room to move, and often all it takes is simply knowing you can ask for something a little lower. And while these are certainly not used-car salesmen, the same principle applies…if they let you walk away, then they really can’t deliver the price you’re asking for.
Competition Abounds. Brokers are highly competitive and motivated to get your account, and they know there’s lots of turnover in the industry. That means they can lure you away from your current firm, but it also means if they don’t retain your business you’ll go elsewhere. So if you’re looking for a new platform to trade on and you’re hunting brokers, ask for a reduced rate. Odds are, if you find it offered elsewhere, you can get that rate matched. And even if you’ve been with your current brokerage for quite a while, there’s no harm in asking for a lower commission rate. Remember, if they don’t keep you, someone else will earn your business, and they don’t want to lose you.
You don’t have to be a smooth talker to pull this off. Call up your broker and ask what they can offer you. Worst case, they tell you no and you’re exactly where you are now. But in many cases, you’ll be able to cut down your transaction costs, which can lead to a big pile of money by the end of the year. How is that not worth asking for?
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
YOUR Trading Plan, Part 2
June 14, 2011 at 9:36 am
In Part 1, I put forth some questions that need to be answered by you in order to move forward with any lasting effect. Those help you identify what it is you’re after, what styles you should pursue, and which approaches you should completely avoid. Let’s proceed.
Start With the Basics
Understanding your preferences, biases, needs and availabilities will clarify your basic approach.
For example, if you were trading a retirement account (non-margin, and thus no short selling, and you prefer the long side and capturing segments of uptrends, you’ve got a starting point. You might narrow your focus to a long-only style based on patterns such as resistance breakouts, as well as bullish continuation patterns like bull flags, bull pennants, and ascending triangles. Those are easily identifiable patterns, which is nice, so you should have a steady flow of candidates to suit your needs.
See what I meant in Part 1 when I said trading allows you a custom-designed approach?
Go Big AND Go Home
Next, decide on a risk amount per trade, in terms of potential dollar loss – not in terms of cash outlay. Think in terms of “real risk” or what you’re truly risking before exiting on the downside. This is the amount you’re willing to lose if/when you are wrong.
That sounds negative, but it’s crucial. Whether it’s $200 or $500 or $5,000 doesn’t matter, so long as it’s a suitable amount of risk for your unique situation. The amount itself is of secondary importance to simply having an amount. It’s a starting point for every trade.
Too many traders fail to begin with an amount of risk they can stomach, and they trade too big and pay the price. That’s no good, so always aim to trade within your means so you can survive and make good decisions.
For example, let’s say your risk amount is $200 per trade. This is what you’re willing and able to risk (lose) if the play doesn’t work out.
So take a trade in XYZ with a pattern that suits you, like an ascending triangle pattern. A breakout might be at $18, and a failure might be at $16. So you could go long this hypothetical trade at $18 with a $16 stop. That’s a $2 per share stop, and you’ll risk $200 per trade, so you could buy 100 shares. Easy math. It doesn’t have to be complicated to be helpful to your trading.
See how knowing *the number* for you can help you understand how much to be trading? The strategy itself is based on the pattern confirmation (entry) or failure (stop loss), but your position size comes down to what you’ll risk per trade. Few traders incorporate this into their plan, but if they did, they’d be miles ahead and avoid many painful trading disasters as well.
In part 3, I’ll wrap this up with some specifics for your overall process. Until then, decide on some basics which suit you and figure out your ‘number.’
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Exploit Your Edge
June 7, 2011 at 12:55 pm
It’s a phrase many of us are familiar with as traders…”exploit your edge.” Sounds kinda like a cross between something illegal and something exciting, right?
At the heart of the phrase though, is simply the idea of finding something that works in your trading, and then using it repeatedly to profit over time.
Poker professionals do it, and they can calculate with precision what their odds of winning a hand will be based on the cards they’re holding. That ‘data’ helps them make critical decisions on whether to fold or bet. Acting appropriately on their ‘edge’ will serve to not only keep them at the table, but help them win.
Professional traders aren’t any different – only the scene is. Traders must also know their edge and use it in their decision-making process on a daily basis. Hold or fold? Lighten and tighten? Add to the position? It all depends, but it’s no guessing game for a veteran trader.
Amateurs, by contrast, fail to recognize this. They pay for it, too. Operating on hunches, rumors, and generally utilizing the buy-and-hope “strategy” might occasionally result in some winning trades, but confusion and frustration are the most common effects. Amateurs don’t understand what their edge is, and therefore don’t know how to exploit it to their benefit.
The Proof is in the Profits
I’m big on evaluating trading performance in order to see what can be learned. Sometimes it’s something new, other times it might simply be a reminder of an important lesson.
Periodically on the premium site, the Recent Stock Picks page gets updated to reflect all swing trades and the corresponding stats which go with them. It’s nice to learn from those updates when they occur, specifically for the real value I get from the data provided. Here are a few of those lessons/reminders…
You don’t have to ‘win big’ to win big.
Too often, traders think they need to hit home runs in order to come out on top. Matter of fact, some of them are right, but it’s only because they need to overcome some enormous losses.
The truth is that in trading, hitting singles and occasional doubles can put you in the proverbial ‘Hall of Fame’ as those gains add up consistently. It’s not necessarily easy, but it is pretty simple and far more feasible than trying to nail down the rare home run. Just exploit your edge and watch your profits stack up…you’ll be amazed at what it turns into.
Small losses are crucial.
As I’ve noted here before, amateurs allow their losses to become too large. But what’s really interesting here is that it isn’t because they’re wrong more often. They’re simply wrong bigger.
Amateurs don’t lose small. That’s a grave mistake in this game, and you can’t afford it if you want to last and profit consistently as a trader. Set up some trading rules if you need to, or put a safety net in place, but for goodness sake, just stop it! When you know you’re wrong, exit and look for a new entry. It’s money you’re trying to gain here, not pride.
Streaks happen.
There’s no getting around it – at times you’re going to be red hot and other times you’re ice cold. Personally, there have been stretches where I took hit after hit, simply being out of sync with the price action, but there have also been times when I consistently turned profits.
Every single trader encounters that – pros and amateurs alike – but what matters most is how it’s handled. The amateur fights harder, increases frequency and size, and hopes that just a couple trades will make it all back.
The pro takes a different approach. When I found myself in a funk, I reduced my size accordingly, became more selective, and remained patient. Soon enough, I found myself back in sync with the market’s rhythm, and I was back on track.
So, step up your game if need be, but figure out what your edge is. Only then will you maximize it to your advantage.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Lighten and Tighten
June 6, 2011 at 11:38 am
An absolute commitment is required for some things in life, like let’s say, a social function. Either you’re going or you aren’t, right? However, other things might require a lower level of commitment. Your diet, for example, might currently be more of an “I’m trying not to eat too many sweets” approach right now. That’s what I’d call a partial commitment, where it’s not an all-or-nothing approach.
When it comes to trading though, far too many traders think they have to be “all in” or “all out” of their positions. Nonsense! Think outside the box a little.
On the surface, we know that commissions are so cheap these days that there is no problem with splitting up positions by making partial exits when a situation calls for it, so that shouldn’t hold you back from adopting this mindset.
There are some occasions when it’s very useful for me to either lighten my position size, tighten my stop, or both. Let’s look at some examples of each, and I hope you’ll add your own thoughts to these in the comments below.
Lighten!
* I should clarify that I’m talking here about lightening up on a position mid-trade. This is not to be confused with when to trade smaller.
Lightening up on a position is a way to Defend both my capital and my profits. Whenever I get a poor fill on a trade where my order is executed at a price which is considerably different than my trading plan accounted for, it’s time to lighten up. By definition, the risk/reward profile of the trade has changed (since the entry price has changed and my stop is now farther away), so naturally I need to make an adjustment. This is the scale I use to do that on my swing trades. Doing this keeps my risk in check with what it should be, allowing me to stick with the trade – even if it’s now a smaller amount.
Tighten!
I won’t enter a trade unless I know my get-out (stop loss), but that doesn’t mean my stop never changes. Sometimes the situation changes in such a way that an adjustment is warranted.
Market conditions may necessitate such an alteration to my plan. Suppose I’m long as a limo, and suddenly the complexion of the market shifts to something quite negative. Maybe news breaks or we see a key reversal set in – well, I’m in denial if I think the landscape hasn’t changed. In those cases, it makes sense to tighten my stops on long positions as a way to shore up my risk.
On a per-trade basis though, sometimes the way a stock moves just happens to change, and that can also warrant tightening my stop. Maybe a stock initially breaks out with momentum, but rather than showing follow through or putting in healthy rest, it simply begins to stagnate. Volume disappears, a sloppy trading range sets in, and I start to see a lack of conviction with weak closes in the stock for several straight days. That’s a time when I’ll definitely tighten up my stop, whether in time or price, as the stock simply isn’t behaving in such a way to deserve a long leash.
Both!
My favorite occasions are those which allow me to both lighten my position and tighten my stop. That usually occurs when my first profit target is hit. That’s a spot where the trade has moved enough to warrant booking some gains (lighten), but the stock may not be done running yet. Typically, I’ll have 2 targets, so sometimes there’s still room for additional gains.
At this point, my initial stop is also now a considerable distance away, so it makes sense to tighten it as well (often to breakeven for remaining shares). This way, I’m risking less on what’s left of my position, while still allowing for additional profits if the stock continues to run. Win/win.
** What are some keys you use mid-trade for knowing when to lighten up on your size or tighten your stop? I have a Bandit t-shirt for the best response, so bring the ideas!
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Dealing with the Pop and Drop Trade
May 17, 2011 at 1:43 pm
This question came in from a fellow Bandit recently, and I wanted to share it (and my response back to him) with you here…
Question:
Jeff, what’s the lesson to be learned from this today. One trade I was watching (***) moved past 13.45 in a hurry this morning. By the time a trade could be executed it was already up in the 13.60s, got up as high as 13.74 and then dropped like a rock back down to where it started the day. All of it happened in about an hour. I’m thinking it would have been better to leave this one alone today. Thoughts? B
Answer:
That one did shoot quickly past the trend line, and anytime that’s the case I try to lighten up into the move. The sharper the moves tend to be, the more prone to reversal they are. So while it’s nice to see a big fast favorable move, at the same time it’s imperative to recognize that it may not last long and to use that strength to book some profits.
Another thing I’d add is that anytime you happen to get a bad fill on your order (in this case 13.60 as you mentioned when you wanted 13.45, it’s important to recognize that the risk/reward profile of the trade has just changed. You might have intended to exit around 13.30, or just about 1% from your entry, but a higher-than-intended entry necessitates raising your stop aggressively in order to offset the late buy. Otherwise, your stop is simply too far down and the risk/reward is no longer as favorable as your original plan for the trade.
The idea is to keep managing risk, keep managing risk, keep managing risk when day trading. Sometimes you get ‘slipped’ on an order like that and end up with a later-than-intended entry, so when you do, either keep a tight stop beneath it or trail it behind the trade aggressively so as to either exit with a minimal loss or book a little gain. If the trade doesn’t unfold as planned, look for the next-best alternative, which is getting out about flat or slightly better if possible.
Sometimes as you said, hindsight will show stocks which may have been better left alone, but on the fly we can still manage the situation well with some good habits.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Walking Away
March 3, 2011 at 3:31 pm
I caught Joey Fundora’s post today called It’s Okay to Take a Break From Trading. He brings forth some excellent points, so go check it out. And while Joey primarily addresses backing away when you feel you lack an edge (rightfully so) or when going on vacation, it got me thinking about the times when trading just becomes a little too important, and perhaps even a self-imposed staycation might be warranted.
When the Scales Are Tipping…
Trading is one of those activities that can put you on top of the world, or completely bury you – if you allow it. And by “if you allow it,” I’m not referring to making or losing money. After all, every one of us will have some good trades and some bad trades – that’s not what I’m talking about. I’m talking about allowing trading to be the all-important activity in your life. If it’s sitting on that throne for you, then unfortunately, your daily satisfaction will hinge upon the color of your P&L.
That’s a really tough spot to be in. It magnifies your mood swings from day to day, and honestly, it’s not healthy. It’s no fun either. If you’re driven (as I am), the up day’s don’t carry near the weight in satisfaction as the down days tend to carry in dissatisfaction – regardless of if you’re making more than you’re losing. (Go back and re-read that sentence, because it’s a little confusing if you breeze through, but it’s of utmost importance.)
Stated otherwise, if I’m making good money on my up days and giving back only a portion of it on my down days, I’m net positive. But if I’m allowing my personal happiness to be based upon my performance today (or yesterday or tomorrow), I’m in for a world of hurt. I’m experienced, and I’ve been at this since the 90’s, so I have high expectations. Taking the aforementioned personal-satisfaction-based-upon-P&L approach, when I make money, I’m pleased but I expect to. When I lose money, I’m upset and the mood pendulum swings too far in a detrimental direction.
That’s a mistake which every one of us will at times make – but do not let it become a habit.
Work Hard & Let Go
Trading is hard. Really, truly difficult. Getting paid from your positioning takes real skill and experience, and that means you have to apply yourself to acquire those things. You don’t acquire them without true desire and hard work, which means you’re invested…with your time, your money, and often times your esteem on the line.
Just this week I had a day where I hit my peak of frustration. I didn’t smash any keyboards or scream at my computer or kick the dog, but I was running hot – and I hated it. I carried it with me, and later realized I’m giving trading too much weight. Yes, trading is what I do, and yes I have as strong of a desire to be successful at it as anyone else, but when I let a bad day bring me down the way I did, I’m giving it too much weight. Trading’s an activity, it’s not who I am. I have far too many other blessings in my life to place trading above them, but sometimes I need a reminder.
Maybe you need that reminder today as well – and here you go! Work hard with your trading, aim high, but keep it in its rightful place. As my buddy Bella says, Move On After a Trading Session. If you’re struggling to do that regularly, just walk away until you’re ready to return with a clear head and the proper perspective.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
4 Reasons to Be in Cash This Weekend
February 24, 2011 at 6:04 pm
Last week, I closed out a few swing trades and shifted to cash. I’m glad. I’ve day traded and it’s been a good week, and I didn’t need to roll the dice overnight in order to turn a profit.
Heading into Friday, I think there are 4 good reasons to remain in cash over the weekend:
1. Busted Patterns. Simply put, right now for most stocks it’s too late to short (for the initial selloff anyway), and it’s too early to go long. For me, the smaller the pattern, the shorter the timeframe for the trade I’ll take from that pattern. With this week’s sudden shift of direction and the intensity of this initial pullback, whatever had been looking bullish (sans energy) now isn’t, and whatever had been looking bearish has cracked like the Liberty bell. Most patterns out there are 3-bar setups, which means I’ll day trade them if they confirm but otherwise will allow them to mature further (read: sit on your hands and wait).
2. Added Uncertainty. Heading into a 3-night, 2-day stay in the heart of Uncertaintyville isn’t great for capital preservation. Holding overnight always involves uncertainty, but when we’re in an environment which is so sensitive to geopolitical events in the Middle East, it has more of an earnings announcement feel to it. One of my trading rules dictates that I avoid holding positions into earnings since I have no edge, and because it makes risk management so difficult impossible. Right now, gap risk is running higher, so when the setups aren’t there (see #1 above), why hold overnight?
3. Change of Character. Every dip has been bought…until this week, which is to say the landscape has shifted a bit. That’s not bad, and it doesn’t mean the bull market is over. What it means is that the multi-hour pullback has been stretched into at least 1 multi-day pullback. We’re getting more back-and-forth, which is more commonly associated with a trading range than a trend. The market’s taking a much-deserved breather here at the very least, and we need to respect that.
4. Better potential ahead. There are a few setups I’m watching for Friday’s session, but the truth is that I expect much better opportunity to surface next week when it comes to swing trading. A couple of bars go a long way when patterns are developing, and right now that’s just what many stocks need. I expect we’ll see that take place next week, so I’d rather have the peace of mind and lack of risk than to fret over the weekend about what a potentially hurtful gap would mean.
Once the dust settles ‘over there,’ we’ll have some better patterns and spots to pick and choose from. And the good news is that volatility is increasing, which means more movement anyway – always a great thing for short-term traders like you and me. So enjoy your weekend and rest up, next week is sure to be another interesting one and we’re going to need to show up ready!
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
