Archive for the 'Book Reviews' Category

The Complete Turtle Trader

The Complete Turtle Trader

As much as I love trading, it’s no coincidence that I frequently have my nose in a trading-related book. I stay away from the how-to books these days, sticking primarily to interview-style books, conceptual trading books, or just ones which tend to tell a good story.

One benefit of writing a blog is the occasional opportunity to check out a book straight from the author, so when Michael Covel offered to send me a copy of The Complete Turtle Trader, it was an easy decision to respond with a resounding “yes.” Now, I’m ashamed to say that it has taken me some time to get to this book (my apologies, Michael!), but once I was able to start reading it, it didn’t take me long at all to finish it.

I quickly realized that The Complete Turtle Trader contained a little bit of everything I like in a trading book. There are numerous quotes from turtle traders and others surrounding the famed experiment which give portions of it an interview feel, there’s plenty of discussion on the concept of the turtle trading method and objectives, and to see the puzzle pieces get put together the way Michael did it certainly tells a good trading story!

About The Turtle Traders

The great turtle trading experiment began in 1983 when Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt decided to take a friendly wager to the next level: they recruited and trained non-traders to see if they could become successful traders using their system. People from many walks of life ultimately joined the team, and the legend began. Dennis and Eckhardt combined for quite a team, with Dennis being described as a pure trader with an incredible feel for market psychology, while Eckhardt was a mathematician who calculated the formulas behind the turtle method. Their decision to hire trainees proved to be extremely successful, and the tale has been told in various ways since then.

Reader Benefits & Impressions

As a full-time trader, I’d certainly heard of the experiment, so I was eager to see what The Complete Turtle Trader had to say. As I progressed through the book, I learned a great deal more about the entire process than I had ever realized before. Amounts made and lost, drop-outs and primadonnas, just what the turtles were doing and trading, and oddly, how much time they spent just letting their positions run.

Here are a few parts of the book which stood out to me:

* Richard Dennis, who funded the experiment, felt that money was purely a way to keep score in the game, which is likely a big part of why he was so successful - his emotions didn’t interfere with his trading process. Interestingly, Dennis was able to successfully blend his bold approach with a healthy dose of respect for the market - two traits which nearly oppose each other but offer the trader two invaluable tools for success.

* The initial training actually began with managing risk. That’s not what one might expect from this famous bet/experiment known for making huge amounts of money, and yet it supports the notion that great traders know how to lose properly.

* Aggressive trading can pay off big, but knowing when to stomp on the gas is the part that many traders miss. Covel mentions that Dennis would go big when he sensed he had an edge, implying that he not only varied his position sizing depending on conditions but also that perhaps he traded much smaller when he lacked conviction. How much difference would it make to your trading results if you hit your favorite setups hard?

* Staying in the present tense and making the best decision “now” will lead to long-term success. Eckhardt knew that how you arrived at your current situation and what you choose to do going forward were separate variables, and he wanted every trader to make the proper decision at all times based on what their rules specified. Covel mentions that Eckhardt “wanted the turtles to literally trade as though they didn’t know what their entry price was.” That speaks volumes to trading your plan and having the discipline to stick with it while ignoring your recent results.

* No guts, no glory. Those who succeeded in the program had undeniable confidence and conviction in their trades, yet balanced that perfectly with a respect for risk. At the end of the day though, the best traders were those who took every opportunity which came along to turn a profit, setting aside any concerns for failure. Courage and determination were far bigger than the rules when it came down to being successful. I’m left with the distinct impression that those who were right frequently with their trades did not make as much as those who nailed the occasional trade with size and held onto it until the trend ended. Much has been made of the Turtle Trading Rules, and yet following them was only a part of how the turtles stayed in the program. Covel states that “if they did not exhibit…a ‘walk-off home run’ mentality every day, they would fail.” Each of them had to have a huge amount of confidence and a major drive to succeed in order to prevail, yet possess the ability to keep their ego in check.

Bottom line: The Complete Turtle Trader is an excellent book which offers loads of wisdom while keeping your interest. The market requires that we’re constantly learning, and this book provided me with a few new lessons while serving to remind me of numerous other valuable trading insights.

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Timothy Sykes: An American Hedge Fund

An American Hedge Fund

I love to read trading books, so I’m always pleased to have the opportunity to do book reviews when writers offer to send me a copy of their book. Recently I was asked by Timothy Sykes if I would be interested in reading and possibly reviewing his upcoming book, An American Hedge Fund. I obliged, and soon after I found an “uncorrected proof” copy of the book sitting in my mailbox. I was pleasantly surprised to also find a very nice handwritten note by Timothy thanking me and offering an open invitation to contact him regarding any questions I may have. That set the stage for what was to become a very good read.

With a hectic schedule like most of us have, I found occasions to work my way through the book over the course of the last couple of weeks, but as I got to it I found it was a real page-turner. Once I completed it a few days ago, my plans were to post my review this weekend, but when I saw my friend Charles Kirk posted his review yesterday and then Timothy appeared on Fox News today, I figured it was time to stop dragging my feet!

I had seen Timothy on CNBC (he was the first to bring models to the show - nice touch Tim!), in Trader Monthly magazine, and he also stars in Wall Street Warriors on MOJO. He definitely was getting some press, so I was interested to see how he had gotten there.

This was a book I thoroughly enjoyed. In fact, not since Dumb Money have I found a trading author’s sarcastic humor and no-holds-barred honesty regarding his trading decisions, conquests and faults so authentic and compelling. I related to so much of it as a trader, was inspired by his successes, and was reminded of important lessons through his failures. Timothy’s style of writing kept me entertained and intrigued as to what would happen next, plus I kept getting waves of nostalgia whenever he’d mention flash-in-the-pan stocks of the 4-letter variety which I’d also traded in recent years. It can be fun to dabble in the story stock of the day, and fading those moves in micro-cap stocks just happens to be Timothy’s specialty as a trader - he’s the first I’ve known to do so well with such a strategy.

Timothy’s story takes you through the complete transition from his $12,000 bar mitzvah money all the way to his multi-million dollar Cilantro hedge fund, chock full of juicy details along the way. The P&L numbers keep on getting bigger, and he keeps nothing in reserve when it comes to his feelings after each individual victory or defeat. You’ll relate as I did not only to the highs and lows of his trading, but to the calculated (and sometimes uncalculated) risks he takes, the disciplines he learns to employ, the pain his weaknesses occasionally cause, and even the burnout he sometimes encounters.

His audited returns are certainly impressive, but he gives the reader a very clear glimpse of just what it takes to get there. Timothy details the lifestyle of a big-city trader, the journey of building a hedge fund when you’re a small fish, how to adapt to changing markets, and how to deal with the everyday challenges and thrills of just being an active trader.

Even though my copy of it was free, I found An American Hedge Fund to be an excellent book which has a lot to offer any self-driven investor or trader. Watch for it in stores or at Amazon October 1st this fall and pick up a copy for an entertaining read!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Honor Thy Stop

Pit Bull by Marty Schwartz Pit Bull by Marty Schwartz

There are a handful of trading books which I have read many times and keep returning to on occasion, including Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, and the Market Wizards series by Jack Schwager. I would also recommend one other book which is written by a Market Wizard, Marty Schwartz, which is called Pit Bull.

Schwartz writes candidly about his history as a trader, including the struggles he went through for many years before becoming one of the biggest and most successful S&P 500 futures traders that has been seen. One portion of Pit Bull is called “Honor Thy Stop,” and it contains some excellent thoughts regarding the use of these safety nets in trading. Here are several of his comments on the topic of stopping out of trades. I found these very useful, so you might relate to them as well. I have a few comments thrown in there too:

“You’re the only one who’s emotionally involved in your position.”
How true! The market really doesn’t care about what we’re feeling, which is all the more reason to approach trades with more logic than emotion.

“Taking a loss is hard to do because it’s an admission that you’ve been wrong. But in the market, being wrong some of the time is part of the game.”
It’s how we manage our wrong trades that will keep us on track.

“That’s the problem with amateurs, they only have half a plan, the easy half. They know how much of a profit they’re willing to take, but they don’t have the foggiest idea how much they’re willing to lose……Their plan for a position that goes south is, “Please God, let me out of this and I’ll never do it again,” but that’s (false), because if by chance the position turns around, they’ll soon forget about God. They’ll go back to thinking that they’re geniuses…”
It is amazing how being on the wrong side makes us repent for all of our trading mistakes, but when we’re right we want all the credit.

“What most people fail to realize is that while you’re losing your money, you’re also losing your objectivity. The market…..doesn’t care about you. That’s why you have to put aside your ego and get out.”

“…a stop is an investment in self-preservation because if you’re wrong, it saves you those extra dollars that you’d lose by hanging on to a losing position. It keeps you from digging the hole deeper and it makes it easier for you to climb back out.”
This is a great way to view the use of stops. They are safety nets for our well-being as traders, so why not use them.

“The more you lose in a trade, the less objective you become. EXITING A LOSING TRADE QUICKLY CLEARS YOUR HEAD AND RESTORES YOUR OBJECTIVITY….. By preserving your capital through the use of a stop, you make it possible to wait patiently for a high-probability trade with a low-risk entry point.”

Of course the market is always there to remind us, but it’s still good to have Schwartz’s input on the subject to remind us that a big part of what made him great was his ability to contain losses when they occurred. In fact, Schwartz even states in the book, “I can tell you how I became a winner - I learned how to lose.”

So the next time you’re faced with the opportunity to honor thy stop, remember the success of Schwartz and know that while you’re admitting defeat on that one trade, you’re simultaneously adding objectivity to your next entry.

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Book Review: Anatomy of the Bear

I love to read trading books, so when I was asked to review Russell Napier’s book, Anatomy of the Bear, I happily obliged.

In the book, Napier examines 4 major bear market bottoms on Wall St., with a portion of the book devoted to each of the major lows created in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982. Napier looks at the history of these bear markets, the events leading up to them, and how the investors of those times were impacted throughout the bottoming process. In his research, he examined some 70,000 articles from the Wall Street Journal from the two months before and after the final lows were made, adding some valuable perspectives from the media and traders of the day. These article tidbits give some great insights into life in the trading trenches at the time, which is incredibly helpful in painting the picture of the doom and gloom which ultimately accompanies a lasting market bottom.

Anatomy of the Bear by Russell Napier Anatomy of the Bear by Russell Napier

Napier also takes the reader back to the situations of each of the major lows, essentially transporting you to the time and the events which led up to the bear phases. He examines wars, monetary policy, politics, economic factors, and anything else which had an impact on the buying and selling motivations of traders, making this book an incredible resource for anyone wanting to learn from lessons of the past.

Here are a few things I found noteworthy:

* Earnings Trailed Price. In the 1921 bottom, price found a low about 4 months before earnings found a bottom. Earnings bottomed some 5 months after price bottomed in the 1932 bottom. That makes for some interesting fundamental vs. technical discussion! (You know which side I’m on)

* Short Interest Stayed High After Lows. Napier discovered that short interest remained rather high even after price made a low, serving as a good reminder that even bears get greedy. In turn, as the shorts end up having to buy to exit their positions, it propels prices even higher, perpetuating the newfound momentum. Napier notes that a large short interest combined with a market that didn’t decline on bad news was an excellent signal in the 1921, 1932 and 1949 lows.

* Bear Markets Don’t Scare You Out. The results of Napier’s research flies somewhat in the face of theories which indicate that capitulation marks a lasting low, revealing instead that bear markets typically end with a final decline on no volume. Essentially, bear markets wear you out, not scare you out.

* Commodities Count. The end of commodity price declines also marked all 4 major equity lows, with copper playing a prominent role as it preceded or coincided with every equity rebound.

The book also ends with a great number of strategic and tactical conclusions drawn from the study of these 4 great bear markets - plenty of reason alone to check out this book.

Thanks to Russell Napier for the chance to review this fine study of the past, I enjoyed the read and learned a great deal from the bear markets of the past.

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Small Mistakes = Small Consequences

One of my favorite trading books is Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre. Based on the trading of the famous Jesse Livermore, Reminiscences is full of trading lessons from cover to cover. Although it was written 83 years ago, it still applies to today’s market. Learning from the successes and failures of one of the all-time great traders is hard to beat.

Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

Among the many lessons embedded in the book, one common theme is that a trader should keep his mistakes small. Livermore developed a “probing” system in which he would enter small positions to monitor their activity before he built up to a full position. This way, if he was wrong, it only cost him a little.

Chapter 10 begins with some great advice:

All stock market mistakes wound you in two tender spots - your pocketbook and your vanity.

This is so true! No trader wants to take a loss. It costs money and diminishes pride to know you were wrong. The mistake of losing money is compounded into a shot to your confidence which is so important to keep intact as a trader.

Lefevre goes on to say:

Losing money is the least of my troubles. A loss never bothers me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong – not taking the loss – that is what does the damage to the pocketbook and to the soul.

I can certainly relate to that. The times when I know I could have gotten out of a bad trade at a better spot but didn’t because of a bad decision is always a shot to my pride. Such a feeling can be very detrimental to subsequent trading results, as the need to “make it back” leads to forced trades and compounded errors.

Make it a point to keep your mistakes small this year. Take small losses – they are easily overcome with winners, and you’ll keep your confidence intact!

Find out how I trade for a living by keeping losses small and locating winning stock picks to overcome them with a 2-week free trial to my stock pick service.

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
www.TheStockBandit.com