Archive for the 'Trading Tips' Category

Trading Video - Trading Price Gaps

Here’s another video of a trading lesson I learned in the market today.

The market doesn’t always cooperate with our trading plans, and one way that it often interferes is by way of the common gap. Today’s lesson takes a look at how to deal with those price gaps. (Check out this page for more info on stock gaps.) The main idea though is to stick with your plan, so when conditions are not conducive to following your plan, it’s usually best to scratch it.

Feel free to share it if you’re a fellow blogger, the embed code is on the YouTube page.

Without further delay, here’s today’s video. Enjoy the show!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Step up the Risk Ladder

Improving as a trader will include many things for you. Sure, you’ll learn to evaluate market conditions better as time goes by, and you’ll find better ways to respond to trading situations which in the past may have caused you to panic. As you improve, even your repertoire of trade types will increase as you add more advanced approaches like gap-fill plays and reversals. However, possibly the most important aspect of becoming a bigger and better trader is learning to increase your trade size effectively.

I’m a big believer in the notion that if you aren’t making money trading small that you won’t make money trading big. That concept sets the precedent here, so if you’re struggling to produce profits trading 100-lots, don’t even think about getting to 1000-lots. If you’re in that boat, keep refining your approach and set aside the notion that you should be trading bigger. You’ll know when the time is right.

Ready For More

When you’re consistently getting your P&L in the green, it’s probably time to start trading a little bigger. And while it’s easy to see on paper that simply quadrupling your position size may mean 4 times the profits, in reality it doesn’t usually work that way. After all, there are those pesky nerves to deal with!

The idea of multiplying the size of your profits is indeed an exciting one, but remember to approach everything first by way of risk management. Just as there are losing trades on smaller-sized positions, there will of course be losses on larger ones as well. Making certain that you can not only withstand larger hits to your account, but also the potential loss of confidence which could come as a result of larger-sized losses is imperative. Being “ready” to trade larger doesn’t simply boil down to having a bigger account which allows more buying power - it really comes down to your ability to accept increased levels of risk.

Baby Steps

Most experienced traders would agree that it’s not usually a great idea to find success at 100-share level or $100 risk-per-trade level and then jump straight to 500. The best approach is to incrementally add risk as you get more comfortable with the bigger numbers you’ll see on that P&L screen. Those good intentions of becoming a more profitable trader can get you into trouble if you jump too quickly into the deep end of the pool before you know how to swim well. A big increase in trade size puts your confidence to the test, and you want to be ready for that. Confidence is tricky in trading, as you have to have it to operate, but too much of it can cost you your objectivity. Protect it at all costs, and you’ll be glad you did.

If you’re considering bumping up your trade size, think of it as a ladder. Climb each step one at a time, and only move up to the next one when you’re ready. That approach will serve you well, letting you slowly add risk as you are comfortable so that you can keep making good trading decisions. Those good decisions don’t come from impulsive reactions to your P&L - they come from following your game plan for each trade. Patiently growing your trade size will help you stay focused on your trading plan, which is where profitability is rooted.

Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, so be sure to sep up the risk ladder at a pace you can maintain.

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Practical Risk vs. Reward

A close friend of mine began trading a few months ago, and in his first days we had a discussion about some things he needed clarification on. We discussed order types and stop losses and why chart patterns tend to repeat themselves, but then he asked this question:

“So, if I buy 100 shares of XYZ at $25 per share, I’ll have $2500 at risk?”

My answer was no.

I do have a calculator, so I am aware that the cost of 100 shares of a $25 stock would be $2500, but when considering what is truly at risk, it all depends on your exit strategy.

If you’re willing to hold XYZ until the bitter end and that company goes to $0, then yes the risk is the full amount. But if you’re a trader, your true risk is really limited to how much room you’re going to give the stock. With a prudent stop loss in place of, say, $24, your “risk” on the trade is only $100.

Taking the conversation to the next step, we have to consider only those trades which we feel will offer us a profit amount which is a multiple of our true risk. If you knew you might lose $100 on a given setup but might stand to make several times that, maybe $400, wouldn’t you take that trade? Absolutely. On the other hand, if you were putting $100 at risk and you felt the potential reward was only $100, would you still take the trade? I wouldn’t think so - you’d head for the blackjack tables in Vegas because their bets pay even money and the lights are prettier!

The point is this: weigh your true risk in every trade you consider taking, and only enter that position if the reward is substantial enough to justify putting your money on the line. Only take trades which offer you a lot more if you’re right than they will cost you if you’re wrong. That’s how you protect the downside.

It’ll keep you in the game and help you grow your trading account. ;-)

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Patience Takes Courage

Trading means many things to different people. Some love the excitement and the thrill of a financial adventure. Some people want something to talk about and discuss, while others simply want a hobby. However, plenty of us are in it for the money.

For those who are purely seeking profits, there are many ways to play the game. Different approaches and timeframes will require a variety of strategies, but we all have something in common: if we choose to play at the wrong times, it’ll cost us.

Opportunities will surface on a regular basis though, regardless of your trading style. A big part of becoming a consistently profitable trader lies in the recognition of those circumstances, so it doesn’t simply boil down to selecting a strategy. The proper implementation of your strategy is what matters most, and if you aren’t seeking to learn that then the market won’t hesitate to teach you.

I like to trade actively. The market’s always in motion, and that means certain stocks are on the move as well. It can be so easy to step off the sidelines and into the game, but timing is the biggest issue in whether those ventures will be profitable or not.

There have been some big moves in this market for the past couple of weeks, and that means there has been no shortage of opportunities. However, the moves have been swift and violent, so they’ve catered to a certain type of trader. The contrarian is one such trader, who may have been calling for a top on the way up and initiating short positions as the market climbed. Obviously that meant some pain while the advance was underway, but now it means profits. Another type of trader who has been able to benefit from the recent conditions is the momentum scalper. They are willing to chase stocks which are already on the move, darting in and out quickly to catch snippets of the moves, adding numerous small gains together to make their day’s pay.

While I have traded each of these strategies at different times in the past, neither one defines my current style. That means that when conditions changed quickly recently, my best plan was to shift into capital preservation mode. Recognizing the change of market character has saved me considerable money these past several weeks, while others have fought and lost because of their unwillingness to protect their trading capital.

Every one of us has a choice of how to manage our trading business. We can throw caution to the wind and hope that we get lucky, or we can be methodical in our approach and choose a path which improves our odds of survival at all times. Choosing the latter keeps us in the game, allowing us opportunity to collect profits when conditions do cater to our specific style.

Trading success does not come easy - we have to earn it. That includes putting in the week-to-week effort, but it also means controlling our emotions and urges in such a way that we stick with our game plan. At times those plans may need altering, but that generally comes after a prolonged period of having something else work better.

Right now the market is trading with higher volatility than we’ve seen. Of course there’s no way to know just how long the extreme moves will stick around, but fortunately as traders it isn’t our job to predict. All we have to do is react to what we see. At some point we’ll see calmer conditions surface, and that’s when those of us with a multi-day to multi-week trading timeframe will be able to return to higher levels of activity.

Until then, protection of capital is the top priority, and we simply must be patient until our favorite conditions return. That way we can pick up where we left off. It may be uneventful while we wait, but it certainly beats the situation so many others are now in who have to make up lost ground. Don’t insist on activity if you don’t see what you like. Have the courage and discipline to wait for your pitch, and if you’re new to the game spend some time determining just what you need to see in order for your strategy to work. It’ll be well worth it!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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Don’t Forget to Prep for 2008

Happy Holidays from TheStockBandit.com! Happy Holidays from TheStockBandit.com!

Lately everyone’s discussing the so-called Santa Claus rally, and I suppose that is rightfully so given the recent upside. Rarely does the Santa Claus rally actually come on time, because the market is so forward-looking. Often it happens early or simply not at all, but this year it is right on time.

OK, so that’s kinda nifty but let’s talk about something that really matters: 2008.

The holidays are officially here, giving each of us the ideal time to reflect on 2007 and look ahead to the coming year. We can review what we’ve learned and consider ways we’ll apply those lessons going forward.

The idle time between now and January 2nd should offer you an
occasion or two to find some quiet time and get real honest with yourself. Take it and put some effort into reviewing your year. Don’t just run the quick numbers on your P&L - take a good look at where you can improve. Look at your trades, look for reasons why you lost and made money, and determine how to avoid the former and increase the latter.

Do you need to improve your skill set? Find a trusted resource where you can learn about tools you’re lacking. Understand the chart patterns. Educate yourself on trading psychology. Learn to improve your execution and expand your use of various order types. Whatever it is, equip yourself with the tools necessary to be a better trader.

What about your discipline? Are you slow to cut losing trades, hanging around in lame stocks when you know you should be bailing out and moving on to the next opportunity? Discipline applies to winning trades too - make sure you’re allowing your original game plan to play out and don’t cut the legs out from under those trades which are working in your favor. And are you exhibiting the discipline each day to do your homework and get prepared for the trading day? If not, create some new habits for yourself come January 2nd that will improve your odds of success.

Every single one of us has ways we can improve as traders, and it’s an ongoing process. What is holding you back from achieving the trading success you want so badly? Let me encourage you to find that area of your trading you feel you’re lacking in the most, and make it your focus to improve it in 2008. It could mean a major difference in your performance going forward, and that progress is exactly what each of us wants.

So spend some quality time with loved ones and friends over the holidays, but be sure to reserve some time just for you so that once January hits you’ll be right on track with your objectives and goals.

Merry Christmas & Happy New Year!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

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